and Alex Vatanka for a discussion about the ongoing unrest in Iran and
the implications for the stability and future of the Islamic Republic.
With the Green Movement having proved its staying power, some scholars
and analysts are starting to predict the beginning of the end for the
regime of Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, while others dismiss the idea
as wishful thinking and argue that the Islamic Republic is here for the
long-term.
Alfoneh and Vatanka will tackle these questions and their implications
for US and regional strategies towards Iran by focusing on two issues.
Vatanka will consider the evolution of the Iranian opposition since
June 2009 and discuss its future prospects. By highlighting the main
drivers behind the protests, he will identify the most significant
interest groups that comprise the opposition Green Movement and
evaluate how the internal dynamics of the opposition have aided or
hampered the common front against the Khamenei-Ahmadinejad regime.
Ali Alfoneh will examine Khamenei's options in the face of this growing
opposition movement. How far might he be willing to go in using the
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to suppress the revolutionary
movement, despite risking his own sovereignty? Or might he be willing
to sacrifice President Mahmoud Amadinejad to accommodate the
opposition's demands?
premiere elements 7 update The Khamenei-Ahmadinejad Regime & the Challenge of Iran 4/9 | |
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